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Saturday, March 3, 2012

Kentucky vs Florida Rd 2.....A Preview

Lwcat
WT Administrator

Kentucky vs Florida (Round 2)….3/4/12
Sunday 12PM (CBS)
Kentucky leads the series 91-33

Location: Gainesville
Enrollment: 52,271
Arena: 12,000

Florida

Head Coach: Billy Donovan

Career Record: 395-167 (70.3%) 17 seasons
At Florida: 360-147 (71.0%) 15 seasons

2010-11 Record: 29-8
2010-11 SEC Record: 13-3
2010-11 Postseason: 3-1 (Lost in NCAA Elite 8)

2011-12 Record: 22-8
2011-12 SEC Record: 10-5

Florida 99 Jackson St. 59
Ohio St. 81 Florida 74
Florida 91 North Florida 55
Florida 78 Wright St. 65
Florida 96 Stetson 70
Syracuse 72 Florida 68
Florida 78 Arizona 72 (OT)
Florida 90 Rider 69
Florida 84 Texas A&M 64
Florida 82 Mississippi Valley St. 54
Florida 82 Florida St. 64
Rutgers 85 Florida 83 (OT)
Florida 90 Yale 70
Florida 79 UAB 61
Tennessee 67 Florida 56
Florida 70 Georgia 48
Florida 79 South Carolina 65
Florida 76 LSU 64
Florida 64 Ole Miss 60
Florida 69 Mississippi St. 57
Florida 74 South Carolina 66
Florida 73 Vanderbilt 65
Kentucky 78 Florida 58
Tennessee 75 Florida 70
Florida 61 Alabama 52
Florida 98 Arkansas 68
Florida 63 Auburn 47
Georgia 76 Florida 62
Vanderbilt 77 Florida 67


Florida Stats

PPG-77.4
FG%-46.5%
3 PT%-39.2% (10.0 PG)
FT%-70.2%
RPG-35.9 (+3.1)
APG-14.9
TO’s-11.3
SPG-6.7
BPG-3.4

UK Stats

PPG-77.8
FG%-48.9%
3 PT%-38.7% (5.9 PG)
FT%-72.4%
RPG-39.2% (+7.4)
APG-13.5
TO’s-11.6
SPG-6.4
BPG-8.9

Probable Starting Lineup

Patric Young-F/C 6’9” Soph……………………….10.1 PPG
Erik Murphy-C 6’10” Jr…………………………….9.9 PPG
Kenny Boynton-G 6’2” Jr…………………………..17.1 PPG
Bradley Beal-G 6’3” Fr……………………………..14.7 PPG
Erving Walker-G 5’8” Sr……………………………12.6 PPG

Other Key Player

Mike Rosario-G 6’3” Jr…………………………….7.4 PPG

Florida has lost 4 of their last 7 SEC games….including their only home loss of the season to Tennessee. Two of Florida’s 8 losses were to top 10 ranked Ohio State and Syracuse early in the season….both on the road. The Gators wins and losses this season have almost always depended on their perimeter shooting. Thus far this season, Florida has taken 767 perimeter shots which is an average of 25 shots per game. In contrast UK averages around 15 perimeter shots per game. When the long range shots are dropping, the Gators are very tough to beat.

Overall, Florida is a good perimeter shooting team hitting 39.2%.....with Boynton hitting 43.9%....Murphy hitting 43.4%......Walker hitting 38.0%. However, Beal who is a terrific freshman only shoots 32.2% from the perimeter. Unfortunately, Florida doesn’t have a great inside game and mostly depends on Patric Young for in the paint points. The Gators have been hurt in the paint with the loss of 6’7” Will Yeguete 4 games ago to a season ending injury. Yeguete came off the bench and averaged 22 minutes to give Florida good interior defense and rebounding.

Erving Walker, Florida’s only senior, is the team leader in assists while Bradley Beal leads in steals. Beal at 6’4” is a terrific athlete and is an amazing rebounder for his size….as he along with Young are the two best Florida rebounders.

Unquestionably, Florida has talent, but they are mostly one demensional with a 3 guard lineup and scoring a huge percentage of their points from the perimeter. However, the Gators are very tough to defeat in Gainesville as they almost always shoot well in their home arena.

Kentucky arrives in Gainesville after soundly defeating Georgia at senior day…. the Cats last home game. UK is playing very well both offensively and defensively….in fact, the Cats are now peaking in on court performance.

Kentucky defeated Florida at Rupp arena by 20 points. In that game, UK held the Gators to 6-27 from long range and out rebounded Florida 38-31. In contrast, UK shot 9-15 from the perimeter. Obviously, the Cats will need to once again play great perimeter defense, but no one expects the Gators to shoot as poorly from long range in their home arena. This game will be much closer….I see a UK win by 9 points. GO CATS!

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